The collapse of Bretton Woods System indicates the end of fixed exchange rate, most countries use float exchange rate until now. Although the system came to an end in 1971, its contribution to the world economy is till remembered. The system help western countries pulled through the most difficult period(after Second World War) and achieve economic resurgence (Marshall Plan). Moreover, the IMF and WB still exist and play an important role on the global economy, especially, in supporting the developing countries. Moreover, as Bordo and Eichengreen(1993) point out, the significance of the Bretton Woods System lies primarily in the inspiration it gave to the later development of formal regime theory.
Bretton Woods System
2014年3月8日星期六
Influence and Conclusion
The collapse of Bretton Woods System indicates the end of fixed exchange rate, most countries use float exchange rate until now. Although the system came to an end in 1971, its contribution to the world economy is till remembered. The system help western countries pulled through the most difficult period(after Second World War) and achieve economic resurgence (Marshall Plan). Moreover, the IMF and WB still exist and play an important role on the global economy, especially, in supporting the developing countries. Moreover, as Bordo and Eichengreen(1993) point out, the significance of the Bretton Woods System lies primarily in the inspiration it gave to the later development of formal regime theory.
The collapse of Bretton Woods System
Let see a video first.:
So, what cause the collapse of Bretton Woods System? there are many reasons that can be found. Firstly, the weakness of mechanism, dollar as a unique global currency was used for international payment and international reserve in Bretton Woods System. Thus, on one part, it require the US kept favorable of balanced trade and sufficient gold reserve to ensure the value of dollar maintain. On the other part, other countries also need sufficient reserve, so they wanted US keep unfavorable of balanced trade. Thus, there was a contradiction on both sides. Moreover, the gold reserve of US government has reduced sharply during that period. From 1944 to 1971, there were seven times dollar crisis, most of they were caused by the war cost, such as Vietnam War. The government printed paper bill in great amount, but the gold reserve has decreased sharply. As we can see from the graph;
The gold reserve decrease almost 100 billion in 20 years. As a result, the USA could not meet their commitment . Finally, the inflation rate increased dramatically due to the low gold reserve.
As we can see the above graph, the inflation rate keep at a low level before 1965. at that period,which is so-called dollar shortage period. However, increasing sharply until 1971, which is what we called dollar glut period. The main reason why inflation rate change in such a dramatic way was because the government unlimited print dollar to pay for the war cost and dollar crisis. in 1971, the inflation rate even reached 11%, and that was the main reason why Nixon shock happened.
In August 1971, President Nixon announced that US government suspend the responsibility for other government using dollar to exchange for gold. This is called Nixon Shock. Actually, it was a great challenge to the Bretton Woods System, because dollar is not relate to the gold any more, it also means that dollar's dominate status lost. Besides, a series of negotiation among the group of ten countries took place, seeking to redesign the exchange rate in December 1971 at the Smithsonian institution in Washington D.C, which is call Smithsonian Agreement,agree adjust the fixed exchange rate. After this agreement, many countries decided to let their currency float. Until then, the Bretton Woods System, as the two incidents indicate, had completely collapsed.
The gold reserve decrease almost 100 billion in 20 years. As a result, the USA could not meet their commitment . Finally, the inflation rate increased dramatically due to the low gold reserve.
As we can see the above graph, the inflation rate keep at a low level before 1965. at that period,which is so-called dollar shortage period. However, increasing sharply until 1971, which is what we called dollar glut period. The main reason why inflation rate change in such a dramatic way was because the government unlimited print dollar to pay for the war cost and dollar crisis. in 1971, the inflation rate even reached 11%, and that was the main reason why Nixon shock happened.
The development of Bretton Woods System
The plans of Bretton Woods System were developed by two important economist, the American minister of state in the U.S. treasury, Harry Dexter White and the British economist John Maynard Keynes. In fact, both of them have similar plan, in their plan, a bank of reconstruction (nowadays the World Bank) and an international stabilisation Fund (nowadays the IMF) should be established. The only difference was that Keynes tried to vest the IMF with possibilities to create money, which is calling Bancor, and with authority to take action on a much larger scale. Bancor as a new currency, can be used to buy goods and invest but unable to exchange for gold and cash. the country of creditors can adjust the balance of payment imbalances, but cannot interpose the police of debtors's countries. In comparison, White's plan was more concerned about the gains of creditor's countries, since, as he suggested, other currency should has fixed exchange rate to dollar.
Basically, Keynes' plan was more base on the British situation. It is well known that, British economy faced great economic recession after Second World War. Keynes tried to reduce the value of gold to rejuvenate British economy. While White' plan intended to keep the dominant status of the USA. some economists today agree that Keynes was more farsighted than White.
2014年2月23日星期日
Why the Bretton woods system was needed?
Gold Standard is a monetary system of the standard economic unit of account is based on a fixed quantity of gold, and the most countries were used until World War I. However, during the period of World War I. However, during the period of World War I, a lot of countries need print more currency to pay for their war costs, Thus, the supply of money over than the demand, and the value of money declined dramatically. For instant, like Kimberly(2012) said that "people needed wheelbarrows full of cash just to buy a loaf of bread.". If the supply was much more than the demand,which can be called hyperinflation.
In fact, many countries faced the problem of economic depression before 1944. For example, after World War II, European countries needed to print more currency to rebuild their country. In order to avoid hyperinflation, Euro countries were ready to abandon a pure gold standard. At that time , the Great Depression also let the government of United States give up the gold standard. The reason why many countries wanted to quit Gold Standard was that the Gold Standard had impeded the development of country. Therefore, they tried to find a system replace the Gold Standard.
Obviously, Bretton Woods System has some advantages that the Gold Standard do not have. First of all, according to Stephey, "its gave countries more flexibility than a strict adherence to the Gold standard, but less volatility than no standard at all."(Stephey 2008). Therefore, a member country still retained the ability to alter its currency's value if needed to corect a "fundamental disequilibrium" in its current account balance.. Secondly, the barrier of international trader between countries has reduced. A case in point is traders do not need to care about which kind of currency they need to used because U.S. dollar has become a global currency. Finally, the establishment of IMF and WB help country ensure stability in the international system and provide a vital souce of financial and technial assistance to developing countries around the world.
2014年2月15日星期六
General introduction of Bretton Woods System
Bretton Woods system is an agreement of monetary management, which established the rules for commercial and financial relations among the world's major industrial countries in the mid-20th century. There are about 730 delegates from 44 countries who discussed the development of world trade after the second World War in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, United States in 1944.Thus, the agreement is called Bretton Woods system. and the video below shows the meeting;
There are three key points in this system. Firstly, the power of U.S. dollar. U.S.dollars have become a unique global currency in the world, while other countries have adopted a monetary policy to maintained the exchange rate by exchanging its currency to the U.S. dollar.Meanwhile, U.S. dollar is related to the gold, 35 dollar is equivalent one ounce of gold. Secondly, two institutions established during the period when the system was functioning,that is International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank(WB). Both IMF and WB play a significant role on the development of world economics, even after the collapse of Bretton Woods system. Thirdly, adjustable fixed exchange rate, the exchange rate of other currencies to U.S.dollars can only fluctuate within 1%, which is so call official exchange rate. if the exchange rate is over the official rate, the local government has the responsibility to maintain the exchange rate stable.
Obviously, USA is the biggest winner after the announcement of Bretton Woods system, and the power of U.S.dollar had become unprecedented. In my point, the system is not only the symbol of prosperous of United States economics, but also a method that many countries attempt to develop the world economics and trade after the collapse of Gold standard.
There are three key points in this system. Firstly, the power of U.S. dollar. U.S.dollars have become a unique global currency in the world, while other countries have adopted a monetary policy to maintained the exchange rate by exchanging its currency to the U.S. dollar.Meanwhile, U.S. dollar is related to the gold, 35 dollar is equivalent one ounce of gold. Secondly, two institutions established during the period when the system was functioning,that is International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank(WB). Both IMF and WB play a significant role on the development of world economics, even after the collapse of Bretton Woods system. Thirdly, adjustable fixed exchange rate, the exchange rate of other currencies to U.S.dollars can only fluctuate within 1%, which is so call official exchange rate. if the exchange rate is over the official rate, the local government has the responsibility to maintain the exchange rate stable.
Obviously, USA is the biggest winner after the announcement of Bretton Woods system, and the power of U.S.dollar had become unprecedented. In my point, the system is not only the symbol of prosperous of United States economics, but also a method that many countries attempt to develop the world economics and trade after the collapse of Gold standard.
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